Socialism: work through scale after a pass, and a local test of the labor-market effect

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <[email protected]> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01QWPs69B8nQZjtPEUXMKzZx
2026-09-24 11:05:38 -06:00
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 ## What this pilot can't tell you

- **Whether the labor market changes.** 400 co-ops won't move anyone's wages. See [The Test](the-test.md).
+- **Whether the labor market changes.** 400 co-ops won't move anyone's wages. How big the sector would need to get, how long that could take, and how the effect could be tested locally after a pass are in [After a Pass: How Big, How Fast](scale.md).
 - **Whether the best founders come.** The test measures the co-ops that *did* apply. If strong founders stay away ([The Founder Problem](founder-problem.md)), a pass means "the co-ops that exist can compete," not "co-ops would win with everyone's best people."
 - **Whether co-ops do better with a full support network.** The pilot funds individual co-ops. It doesn't build [the federation](federation.md) that Mondragon relied on, so co-ops that join a federation are reported separately. The [support lottery](#the-support-lottery) tests one piece of that network, hands-on help, but not the rest: shared funds, moving workers between co-ops, joint buying and selling.
 - **Whether it survives politics.** Congress can refuse the second capitalization, or repeal the whole thing. A hostile board could also try to rig the result, which is why the verdict can be "not tested" rather than "failed" if the bank turned away applicants who met its own standards. See [Making It Last](durability.md).